Sunday, January 15, 2017

Hidden Figures Wins The Box Office Again As La La Land Soars And New Mark Wahlberg And Ben Affleck Movies Flop

Note: This article covers only box office figures for the 3-day weekend.

As six movies went into wide release this weekend, all but one of the newbie movies failed to leave an impact, meaning Hidden Figures was able to win the box office again in its second weekend of wide release. Hidden Figures grossed another $20 million this weekend, going down only 12% from last weekend and bringing its domestic total to $54.3 million. It appears that this inspirational drama is gonna make a run for $100 million domestically, an amazing result for the $25 million budgeted film.



Also doing spectacular business in its wide release is La La Land, which has now had four weeks of wide release, each bigger than the last. This time, it grossed $14.5 million, a 40% increase over last weekend and has now grossed $74 million. It's now guaranteed to cross $100 million and, if it manages to get a number of high-profile Oscar nominations, could conceivably make a run for $150 million domestically as well. These are some absolutely insane numbers that point to quite the bright box office future for La La Land.

In its fourth weekend, Sing harmonized another $13.8 million, bringing the animated blockbusters domestic cume to a whopping $233 million. This Illumination Entertainment title looks to be ending its domestic run in the $260-270 million range. Fellow Christmas 2016 blockbuster Rogue One grossed another $13.9 million, a 37% drop from last weekend that brings its domestic total to $498.9 million. This blockbuster has now surpassed Finding Dory to become the biggest movie of 2016 domestically and should become only the seventh film in history to crack $500 million domestically (not adjusted for inflation of course) tomorrow.

A major surprise this weekend was The Bye Bye Man, which managed to overcome a hokey title to gross a solid $13 million, which is actually an improvement of the debuts of recent horror films like The Boy ($10.7 million) and The Forest ($12.7 million) and is the second biggest opening weekend ever for studio STX Entertainment. Considering the dearth of horror movies in the marketplace (we haven't had a horror movie gross over $10 million in its opening weekend since Oujia: Origin Of Evil three months ago), maybe this one being a surprise sleeper hit shouldn't have been shocking. Particualrly impressive is that it actually managed to hold on well throughout the weekend despite the horror novelty of its opening day being a Friday The 13th potentially fueling its business. I wouldn't be surprised to see this one creep past $30 million domestically, not too shabby of a showing at all.

Perhaps the biggest surprise stumble of the weekend was Patriot's Day, which grossed $12 million this weekend, a sum that's more akin to the opening weekend of The Gambler than Lone Survivor or even Deepwater Horizon. The large amount of adult-skewing dramas in the marketplace didn't help this new Marky Mark movie and coming so quickly off the heels of another inspirational "Based-On-A-True-Story" Mark Wahlberg/Peter Berg joint (Deepwater Horizon) only furthered its issue of failing to stand out from the pack. If this one gets above $35 million domestically (which would put this one's entire domestic run beneath the wide release opneing weekend of Lone Survivor), I'd be totally surprised.

Monster Trucks finally arrived into movie theaters this year after being delayed more times than the titular monster has tentacles and grossed only $10.5 million. That's an improvement over the opening weekend of last year's Martin Luther King Jr. weekend family movie, Norm Of The North (which grossed $6.8 million) but way below past January family movie bows like Paddington ($18.9 million) and The Nut Job ($19.4 million). Paramount Pictures already expected this one to be a box office dud since they took down a $115 million write-down on the film last Fall but there's no doubt they at least wanted it to perform better than this, especially since they've had so many big money-losers over the past 12 months like Allied, the newest Ninja Turtles movie, Zoolander 2 and even Star Trek Beyond.

Also debuting this weekend was Sleepless, which grossed an OK $8.4 million at 1,803 theaters, which is actually the tenth biggest opening weekend ever for distributor Open Road Films. That's still not a good result, especially given its $30 million budget, but it's a slightly higher than analysts expected and also an improvement over the bows of past Open Road Films action movies like Triple 9 and The Gunman (wow, I totally forgot Sean Penn was in an action movie two years ago). Sleepless will likely finish its domestic run just under or over $20 million.

Taking a plunge in its second weekend was Underworld: Blood Wars, which went down 58% (a higher second-weekend drop than all but one of its predecessors) and grossed another $5.8 million, meaning it's now grossed $23.9 million in ten days which is still below what the last Underworld movie took in in its opening weekend. Passengers went down 36% to gross another $5.6 million for a domestic gross of $90 million thus far. Barring a massive plunge in the next two weeks, this one should sneak past $100 million domestically which is an underwhelming total for this Jennifer Lawrence/Chris Pratt feature.

All the way outside of the top ten in its opening wide release weekend was Live By Night, which was capsized with only $5.4 million generated this weekend. That's a dreadful result for the period piece gangster movie, which cost $60 million and is all but guaranteed to supplant Gone Baby Gone as the lowest grossing directorial effort ever from Ben Affleck. As said above with Patriot's Day, there's just so many big dramas out right now that you've gotta stand out from the crowd and the generic marketing and dismal reviews for Live By Night sealed its fate as a box office dud. Don't be surprised if this ends up grossing just below $15 million domestically.

Moana added another $3.9 million in its eighth weekend, a 39% drop from last weekend that brings its domestic total up to $231.2 million. Making another $3.3 million this weekend was Why Him?  which has now grossed $55.1 million. Fellow Christmas 2016 title Fences grossed another $2.7 million this weekend, a 43% decline from last weekend, meaning its now grossed $45.8 million. And Lion continues to show solid resilience, as it went up from its gross last weekend (increasing about 8.8% to be precise) despite losing theaters, adding another $2.2 million at 575 theaters (for a per-theater average of $3,923) for a current domestic gross of $13.2 million. This one's been performing quite strongly and it'll be interesting to see how much more it could rake up domestically if it gets some high-profile Oscar nominations.

And then there's Silence, which debuted to only $1.9 million this weekend at 747 theaters for a per-theater average of $2,597. Silence has now grossed only $3 million and will be struggling to surpass the $5.6 million domestic total of past Scorsese effort Kundun. This is a majorly disappointing debut, though it's unlikely Silence (a 3-hour long exploration of faith in 17th century Japan with no big movie stars in it) was ever thought to be a moneymaker. That's likely why Paramount Pictures started its minimal marketing campaign only four weeks before Silence's limited release debut.

Manchester By The Sea kept on chugging this weekend, adding another $1.7 million (a 31% decline from last weekend) and its domestic gross now stands at an impressive $36.9 million. Jackie cracked $10 million domestically this weekend thanks to a $715,000 weekend haul while Arrival grossed another $550,000 that brings that Amy Adams films domestic cume to $95 million. A Monster Calls was unable to recover from its disastrous opening weekend, grossing only $521,845, a 75% plunge from last weekend, and bringing its meager domestic haul to only $3.3 million.

The Top 12 movies at the domestic box office this weekend grossed a total of $127.6 million, the fourth biggest 3-day frame for the second weekend in any given year, though down about 13% from the second weekend of 2016.

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